What if...

[CCM von Hausser]

I'm not sure if it's the right place so mods are free to move this topic

I open this topic to ask help to find some infos or idea about at "what if GER wons Battle of Britain" I mean: Do you think that ENG wants to use "gas" to defend her beachs? What do you think about alternative Great Britain situation? What about Scotland, Galles, England and both North Irland and Irland? Do you think that Waffen-SS could found any volunteers for their Army?

I'm sorry for my english

[plan_D]

The German invasion fleet would have been sunk in the Channel.

[johnbr]

What if the Heinkel He 277 with BMW 802 was made in stead of the He177 or the He s30 or Jumo 004h was made from good material.

[timshatz]

Originally Posted by CCM von Hausser

I'm not sure if it's the right place so mods are free to move this topic

I open this topic to ask help to find some infos or idea about at "what if GER wons Battle of Britain" I mean: Do you think that ENG wants to use "gas" to defend her beachs? What do you think about alternative Great Britain situation? What about Scotland, Galles, England and both North Irland and Irland? Do you think that Waffen-SS could found any volunteers for their Army?

I'm sorry for my english

No worries for the English, gets the job done.

Depends on what you mean by win. Do the Germans force Fighter Command back above London, allowing the them local air superiority over the beaches? Makes a toehold on the channel beaches a better chance but there are still big problems for the germans. Let's assume the Germans can and do invade in Early October. And they capture a port (very big deal).

1. Can they be supplied over the winter? Going to be tough. They will have limited control of the coast. The british MTB and Destroyer squadrons can sortie into their shipping lanes. Granted, the Luftwaffe will make it hard for them but with national survival on the line, they'll throw everything they have into it. If the British can interdict the lines of communication effectively (and it is a big and crucial "if"), the invasion will fail some time in the winter.

2. Can the Germans keep air superiority through the winter? Seems like a simple question but it is actually many faceted. The attacks on British airfields and aircraft manufacturing will have to come from France. Bomber bases will probably not be available due to the logistical trail they need. For the 109s, it will be a target rich environment. Some of them will be based in England. Probably some 110 fighter bombers as well. For the Spitfires and Hurricanes, it will be a job of sitting on the airfields the Germans establish. Tough call on that one either way.

3. Will the Americans continue to supply the British? Will they up it, will they cut them off? Bill Donovan, future head of the OSS went to England in the Summer/Fall of 1940 to see if England would survive. He came away with the opinion that they would (at the same time Joe Kennedy was saying they wouldn't) and Lend Lease worked it's way through. If the Germans were on the Isle, would Donovan have the same opinion?

That's a just a few offhand thoughts.

[lesofprimus]

Im with pD on this one, again....

Without establishing air supremacy/superiority, the German invasion fleet would be lying at the bottom of the English Channel.....

[plan_D]

When the Allies invaded Normandy they had absolute naval and air superiority.

The Luftwaffe still existed but what was left of the bomber force had no chance of striking through the massive fighter screen the RAF and USAAF could send up. There's proof of this in the days during Overlord where Ju-88s were shot down in droves as they attempted to attack the beach head.

The Kriegsmarine was out-numbered and out-gunned. The only real chance they had was using stealthy small E-boats to cause havoc and confusion in the Allied supply line across the Channel.

The Allied invasion fleet had 6,939 vessels : 1,213 combat vessels, 4,126 landing craft, 736 ancillary craft and 864 merchant vessels. The 2nd Tactical Air Force and Ninth U.S Air Force had been hammering tactical targets in France since May in support of the upcoming invasion, airfields, power stations, bridges, rail lines and marshalling yards were all high on the list. The 'Mighty 8th' and RAF Bomber Command had been bombing Germany proper for months with great effectiveness, and the escort fighters had started exacting a heavy toll on the Luftwaffe.

And with all that, the Allied invasion almost failed on more than one occassion. And Field Marshal Sir Alan Brooke, Chief of Imperial General Staff even said on 5 June, 1944, "I am very uneasy about the whole operation. At best it will fall so very far short of the expectations of the bulk of the people, namely those who know nothing of its difficulties. At worst it may well be the most ghastly disaster of the whole war. I wish to God it were safely over."

The Germans had a sixth of the Allied invasion fleet, at best. Not all of which was completely sea-worthy. They didn't have complete air superiority. No heavy bombers had been hammering away at British industry. No tactical bombers had been smashing British lines of communication for months in direct support of the invasion. And the Germans lacked naval superiority. ... even if Germany forced the RAF to move north of London ... they'd lose any invasion attempt in 1940.

[timshatz]

Originally Posted by plan_D

When the Allies invaded Normandy they had absolute naval and air superiority.

The Luftwaffe still existed but what was left of the bomber force had no chance of striking through the massive fighter screen the RAF and USAAF could send up. There's proof of this in the days during Overlord where Ju-88s were shot down in droves as they attempted to attack the beach head.

The Kriegsmarine was out-numbered and out-gunned. The only real chance they had was using stealthy small E-boats to cause havoc and confusion in the Allied supply line across the Channel.

The Allied invasion fleet had 6,939 vessels : 1,213 combat vessels, 4,126 landing craft, 736 ancillary craft and 864 merchant vessels. The 2nd Tactical Air Force and Ninth U.S Air Force had been hammering tactical targets in France since May in support of the upcoming invasion, airfields, power stations, bridges, rail lines and marshalling yards were all high on the list. The 'Mighty 8th' and RAF Bomber Command had been bombing Germany proper for months with great effectiveness, and the escort fighters had started exacting a heavy toll on the Luftwaffe.

And with all that, the Allied invasion almost failed on more than one occassion. And Field Marshal Sir Alan Brooke, Chief of Imperial General Staff even said on 5 June, 1944, "I am very uneasy about the whole operation. At best it will fall so very far short of the expectations of the bulk of the people, namely those who know nothing of its difficulties. At worst it may well be the most ghastly disaster of the whole war. I wish to God it were safely over."

The Germans had a sixth of the Allied invasion fleet, at best. Not all of which was completely sea-worthy. They didn't have complete air superiority. No heavy bombers had been hammering away at British industry. No tactical bombers had been smashing British lines of communication for months in direct support of the invasion. And the Germans lacked naval superiority. ... even if Germany forced the RAF to move north of London ... they'd lose any invasion attempt in 1940.

Good post. Good points.

[DerAdlerIstGelandet]

Im with pD on this as well.

The only way it would have happened would have been with complete air superiority and the Luftwaffe was not going to gain that. Even if they had gained superiority over the channel coast, the aircraft did not have the range to reach the northern parts of England and therefore the RAF would have still be present in numbers to sink the invasion fleet.

Now to go with tim said, even if they had established a beach head, I dont think the Germans would have been able to overcome the logistical problems.

[CCM von Hausser]

Originally Posted by plan_D

The German invasion fleet would have been sunk in the Channel.

uhm... no, I'm thinking if GER was able to land on the ENG Beachs

[CCM von Hausser]

Originally Posted by johnbr

What if the Heinkel He 277 with BMW 802 was made in stead of the He177 or the He s30 or Jumo 004h was made from good material.

uhm... This is a different approach for me. Luftwaffe was a Tactical Air Force and not a Strategical Air Force: it's cause in GER this force was seen just like a support for the Heer, so I think that not enough efforts was made to build a nice Strategic Bomb

[CCM von Hausser]

@ timshatz & plan_D - Really good posts... really good points!!!
I know 2 things,
1) GER made a big mistake bombing London all around the clock;
2) Already in 1940 RAF was in pilots deficit and was very near to be unable to lunch her fighters versus Luftwaffe

but... also if your answers are really good (again) my question is different: Do yuo think that ENG use the "gas" to defend her beachs? What the future for the Great Britan under GER rules? What the future for Scotland, Galles, England and Irland?

I found a lot of idea about this but noone really good for me; noone with infos to support itself

thanks for your time

[plan_D]

I don't think Great Britain would use gas on the beaches. It would be pretty obvious to the British forces that they could contain any invasion attempt by the sea. It would not be worth the political and environmental damage caused by the gas, when they could slaughter the German invasion by conventional means.

If Germany had managed to take Great Britain, it would have remained much the same as France did. Under German rule, but pretty much left alone.

[CCM von Hausser]

this is your personal idea or have you any proofs?
I mean: other than a personal interest on this particular fact, I need these infos and proofs cause my modding role for HoI2/DD game. You must to know that with our modding team we're re-working a large part of the game (about the 90%) including this "what if..." for GER and ENG. Some guys says that under an hard pression will be possible that ENG use gas to defend his homeland. I'm not sure about it, but it's still possible as Turtledove wrote in his books My goal here is to look for a solution - with your helps - that I can put in game in form of % of choice for both HU and AI player

[timshatz]

There is no way to prove a non-event. In such a case, you can only deal with similar situations and potential plans. I agree with PD that the use of gas was probably not a viable option for several reasons:

1. No country that fell to the Germans (France, Belgium, Poland, ect) that had experience with gas used it in their final (or any part of) their defense. I do not believe they let themselves be conquered rather than use it. More along the lines that they did not see Gas as a war winning weapon. In WW1, it accounted for only 5% of the casualties. It just wasn't effective enough against military targets.

2. The British had more to lose by letting that genie out of the bottle than the Germans. The Germans were soldiers and soliders are trained on how to handle gas. The British were a combination of everything from proffessional soldiers to home guard to straight civilians. Gas would've been far more effective against a civilian population than a military one. The threat of Gas, like that of Radiation, causes panic. And with civilians, a little panic goes a long way.

[CCM von Hausser]

Thanks timshatz: those are words I want to read

What do you think about a puppet Governament in Great Bretain under GER rules? What options?